Apr 3, 2006

Must be baseball

The Cubs season officially starts today at 1:10 in Cincinnati. Pres. Bush in an effort to increase his popularity will take a vacation from his vacation to throw out the first pitch. Al, the guy who runs Bleed Cubbie Blue, listed the four other times that a sitting President has been in attendance at a Cub game and the results.

Cubs vs. Pittsburgh (5/29/1909): 8-3 Cubs; President:Taft
San Fran vs. Cubs (9/16/1909): 2-1 Giants; President: Taft
Pittsburgh vs. Cubs (9/30/1988): 10-9 Pitt; President: Reagan
Milwaukee vs. Cubs (6/30/1999): 5-4 Cubs; President: Clinton

So logic dictates that we have a 50/50 chance of winning. The odds with a Republican president in attendance: 33%. The odds if the President is known as "The Big Dog"; 100%. The odds with a President with under 40% approval rating: 50%*

*Assuming the Payne-Aldrich Act was passed between 5/29 and 9/16 in 1909.

Update: Baseball Prospectus Power Rankings are in.
Update II: Cubs vs. Cincinnati (4/3/2006): 16-7 Cubs; President: Bush

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